Climate Resilience Brief Report
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Climate Resilience Brief · Generated 18 July 2026

Polerhat GC-Jattrapur GC.

201082003 · Bagerhat Sadar › BAGERHAT › Khulna
12.34 km · Upazila Road · BC
SSP SSP5-8.5 · Design horizon to 2052
4.91
RICC
Medium Resilience
The Road & Its Climate Outlook

Polerhat GC-Jattrapur GC. (201082003) is a Upazila Road road spanning 12.34 km through Upazila: Bagerhat Sadar, District: BAGERHAT, Division: Khulna. Assessed under the SSP5-8.5 climate pathway, with a design horizon to 2052, its computed climate resilience index (RICC) is 4.91 — rated MEDIUM.

The Polerhat GC-Jattrapur GC road, located in Bagerhat Sadar, Bagerhat, is expected to face significant climate-related challenges by its design horizon year of 2052. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, with a projected 4.4°C global mean warming by 2100, this road will likely experience intensified monsoon rainfall and flash flooding, as well as rising dry-season temperatures. The computed resilience result of 4.91, indicating a medium resilience degree, suggests that the road's surface and structure may be compromised by these climate changes. The 46.85% increase in precipitation and 56.49% increase in temperature by the design horizon year will exacerbate waterlogging, erosion, and rutting on this BC surface road.

Given its location and surface type, this road is particularly vulnerable to waterlogging and erosion. The medium resilience degree implies that baseline engineering actions are necessary to maintain the road's functionality. By 2052, the road may experience more frequent and severe flooding, which could damage the road surface and underlying structure. To mitigate these risks, adaptation measures must be taken to enhance the road's resilience.

  • Upgrade
  • Enhanced maintenance and retrofit
  • Monitor and learn
  • Drainage capacity upgrades to mitigate waterlogging and flashed flooding
  • Embankment protection measures to prevent erosion and channel migration
  • Raised or flood-resilient pavement sections to protect the road from frequent flooding
  • Cyclone-resistant materials and design considerations to protect the road from strong winds and storm surges
Recommended Adaptation Measures
  • Upgrade
  • Enhanced maintenance and retrofit
  • Monitor and learn
  • Drainage capacity upgrades to mitigate waterlogging and flashed flooding
  • Embankment protection measures to prevent erosion and channel migration
  • Raised or flood-resilient pavement sections to protect the road from frequent flooding
  • Cyclone-resistant materials and design considerations to protect the road from strong winds and storm surges
Road Alignment
Low Medium High
Live map shown on screen; the downloaded .docx includes a printable map snapshot of this alignment (OpenStreetMap basemap, colored by resilience status) instead.
Key Figures · AAR vs. baseline (1995–2014) & computed indices
AAR Precip 46.9% AAR Temp 56.5% RICC (Precip) 4.91 RICC (Temp) 5.00 Final RICC 4.91 SSP scenario: SSP5-8.5 — Fossil-fuelled Development: a high-emissions pathway, roughly +4.4°C global mean warming by 2100 vs. pre-industrial levels.